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Election Scenario Explorer using Economist Election Model

Ric Fernholz writes:

I wanted to tell you about a new website I built together with my brother Dan. The 2020 Election Scenario Explorer allows you to explore how electoral outcomes in individual states influence the national election outlook using data from your election model.

The map and tables on our site reveal some interesting observations about the election and your model. The site provides a measure of the influence of different states using the expected reduction in entropy or variance, following the data generated by your model. Several of the most influential states according to this measure differ from those states emphasized by more common “tipping point” analyses.

I appreciate you sharing your code and simulation output with the public, as this made our project possible.

Open data and code ftw!

P.S. They should round those numbers to the nearest percentage point (see section 2.1 of this article).



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